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"Who is GTA 6 for?" 

"Gun and ball" gamers are who GTA 6 is for, the people who play exclusively CoD and Madden/Fifa every year. The "hardcore" gamers are the minority of the hobby, most people just play the popular mega-releases and never interact with online communities for the hobby.

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This is at least a reasonable theory, but my understanding, which may be lacking, is that CoD hasn't been doing great recently; not TERRIBLE, but nothing like it was, and certainly not a "shatter the earth" demographic. Even more so for sports games. This would at least make sense, as both genres have been pretty deep into the slop for a while now without really causing problems for their core audience, but I just don't see the numbers being there. To be reasonably successful, sure, maybe. But to make a decent return on six years of dev time? To be the best selling game of all time?

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I actually should've thumbed through the comments and saved myself some trouble before posting my own, lol. You are right on the money with this